{"id":23215,"date":"2023-02-20T08:40:41","date_gmt":"2023-02-20T13:40:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/?p=23215"},"modified":"2023-02-20T10:39:08","modified_gmt":"2023-02-20T15:39:08","slug":"trumps-fate-in-2024-may-rest-on-whether-he-can-repeat-his-biggest-surprise-from-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/trumps-fate-in-2024-may-rest-on-whether-he-can-repeat-his-biggest-surprise-from-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s fate in 2024 may rest on whether he can repeat his biggest surprise from 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Jim Guth, the Willian R. Kenan Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Furman University, was quoted in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2023\/02\/14\/politics\/gop-voters-evangelicals-trump-2024-fault-lines\/index.html\">CNN Politics<\/a> article. The story explored how the Republican party has voted in recent election cycles, with education level becoming a predominant line of demarcation, especially in 2016, when Trump ran for the nation&#8217;s highest office. The dynamic of education levels overtaking evangelical affiliation as the key dividing line among GOP voters was \u201cunique to Trump,\u201d Guth told analyst Ronald Brownstein. \u201cYou don\u2019t find that kind of division generally for Republican candidates.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Guth said that DeSantis, with his more reserved approach, may see traction among the college-educated Republican electorate, especially evangelicals, \u201cwho don\u2019t like the Trump style even though they like the Trump policies.\u201d DeSantis, having planted his flag in the socially conservative camp, might be more appealing than Trump among \u201cthe middle class and upper middle class evangelical types,&#8221; especially after the events of January 6, Guth said.<\/p>\n<p>Guth also commented on the current field of potential Republican candidates and their chances for preventing another divide and conquer win for Trump.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump&#8217;s presidential run in 2016 carved new fault lines in the Republican Party electorate. Furman&#8217;s Jim Guth gives his observations in a CNN Politics story.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":257,"featured_media":8517,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,1894,6,32],"tags":[703,1895,1896,1853,536],"class_list":["post-23215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-academic-department-page","category-cnn-politics","category-in-the-news","category-politics-and-international-affairs","tag-2024-election","tag-blue-collar-voters","tag-evangelical-voters","tag-gop","tag-republican-party"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23215","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/257"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23215"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23215\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8517"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23215"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23215"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.furman.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23215"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}